On the World SF Blog, Lavie Tidhar claimed the following about the Hugo awards:
“this is perhaps the first year in the award’s history (and the Campbell, a “Not a Hugo” award) where we see such a strong representation of international voices. [...] The Hugos are changing, I think. Or SF as a whole is changing. The surprise is not that popular American writers are nominated for a Hugo – but that diversity is increasingly represented on the ballots.”
That’s not the impression I got; I thought this year’s list wasn’t more diverse than last year’s, so let’s try to look at the actual numbers. I hope I’m not missing anyone, feel free to comment to point out mistakes! There are also people I don’t know enough about, for example Vincent Chong might be Asian-British, but I couldn’t find any confirmation of this. I suspect I’m missing out on a few Jews too.
Once this year’s winners are announced, I can do another comparison of the winners, remind me!
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Hugo award nominees last year:
* Ken Liu (a Chinese-American man), twice
* E. Lily Yu (a Chinese-American woman)
* Stephan Martinière (a French man)
* Rachel Swirsky (an American Jewish woman)
* Kirsten Gong-Wong (an Asian-American woman) – listed for Locus
[also, Charlie Jane Anders is a trans woman, but Lavie only listed people who contributed to ethnic diversity, not sexual diversity, presumably because that's relevant for the World SF Blog. I'm going to add people in the latter category in square brackets]
Hugo award nominees this year:
* Saladin Ahmed (an Arab-American man)
* Aliette de Bodard (a Vietnamese-French woman), twice
* Thomas Olde Heuvelt (a Dutch man)
* Ken Liu (a Chinese-American man)
* A lot of very ethnically and sexually diverse people listed for Strange Horizons
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Campbell award nominees last year:
* Karen Lord (a Barbadian woman)
* E. Lily Yu (a Chinese-American woman)
Campbell award nominees this year:
* Zen Cho (a Malaysian woman)
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Nebula award nominees last year:
* N.K. Jemisin (an African-American woman)
* Ken Liu (a Chinese-American man), twice
* Rachel Swirsky (an American Jewish woman)
* Aliette de Bodard (a Vietnamese-French woman)
* Tom Crosshill (a Latvian man)
* E. Lily Yu (a Chinese-American woman)
[Charlie Jane Anders is a trans woman]
Nebula award nominees this year:
* N.K. Jemisin (an African-American woman)
* Ken Liu (a Chinese-American man), three times
* Rachel Swirsky (an American Jewish woman)
* Aliette de Bodard (a Vietnamese-French woman), twice
* Tom Crosshill (a Latvian man)
* Saladin Ahmed (an Arab-American man)
* Lawrence M. Schoen (an American Jewish man)
* Rachel Swirsky (an American Jewish woman)
* Leah Cypess (an American Jewish woman)
[and Caitlín Kiernan is trans, Brit Mandelo is queer]
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Norton award nominees last year:
* Nnedi Okorafor (a Nigerian-American woman)
* Greg van Eekhout (a Dutch-Indonesian-American man)
Norton award nominees this year:
* Guadalupe Garcia McCall (a Mexican-American woman)
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My conclusion is that the Nebulas have indeed become more diverse (though the additional diversity seems to be mostly American Jews, and people who’ve gotten award nominations in the past getting even more), but the Hugos haven’t. If anything, the Campbell award attached to the Hugos has become less diverse!
I think this is a believable conclusion, just judging from the people who show interest in my posts – the majority of active commenters are Nebula voters but not Hugo voters. (Note that I also get a lot of private comments, more than public comments, usually because people do not wish to make a public stand against specific stories they strongly disliked.)
Congratulations to everyone who made the list, and all the power to those yet to make it!
Edited to add:
I’m not saying the Hugos haven’t become more diverse over longer timescales, just that the current year does not seem to be a breakout year. Claiming it is possibly erases the people who were on the Hugo and Campbell lists last year, and the people who voted for them. (I assume this wasn’t intentional, but I’m still uncomfortable about it…)